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China’s film industry: changing market dynamics driven by technology

Bar chart showing China's online video market by revenue for 2009 - 2019, and forecast until 2022.

Chinese moviegoers bought a total of 548 million movie tickets in China in 2020, and the country’s total box office reached CNY 20.4 billion (about USD 3 billion) in 2020, overtaking the North America to become the world’s largest movie market for the first time (until 2019, China had been the world’s second largest movie market).

China’s ascent to pole position in 2020 is despite China’s box office takings plunging 68.2% year-on-year (YoY) from a record high of USD 9.2 billion in 2019, and a 66.5% decline from 2018 – due to cinema shutdowns as a result of the Covid pandemic and significant losses as a result of delayed or scrapped film releases. As many as seven Chinese films that were scheduled to be released during the Lunar New Year Holiday 2020 were pulled which is estimated to have cost USD 210 million in those two days alone. The roughly one week long Lunar Holiday is a key release period for Chinese films. Chinese authorities shut Chinese cinemas nationwide for 178 days from January 23, to July 20 when cinemas were allowed to re-open at 30%. The restriction was lifted to 50% on August 14, and 75% on September 25.

The shutdowns hit industry players hard. Maoyan Entertainment for instance, China’s largest online movie ticketing app for instance said revenues plunged to 89.7% YoY to CNY 200 million during the six months to June 2020, from 1.94 billion the same period a year earlier. Tencent-backed ticketing platform Maoyan Entertainment, dominates China’s online movie ticket sales with an estimated market share of 60% in China where more than 80% of all movie tickets are sold online (mostly over mobile devices). Together with arch rival Alibaba-backed Taopiaopiao which has a market share of 30%, the duo command a combined market share of as much as 90% of China’s online movie ticket sales.

Wanda Film Holding万达院线, which acquired AMC Entertainment Holdings in 2012 to become the largest cinema chain operator in the world said revenues declined 73.93% YoY during the first six months of 2020 to CNY 1.97 billion, pushing the company into the red, with a net loss of CNY 1.57 billion a staggering 398.8% decline from a year earlier when it reported a profit of CNY 524 million. Box office revenues which sank 88.5% YoY to CNY 580 million in 1H 2020, accounted for just 27% of total revenue during the period.

Meanwhile, North American box office revenues sank more than 80% YoY to USD 2.28 billion in 2020, from USD 11.4 billion in 2019 according to American media analytics firm Comscore as a result of the Covid pandemic which shut cinemas throughout the country causing blockbuster Hollywood productions like Black Widow and Wonder Woman 1984 to postpone their 2020 releases. According to Comscore by late 2020, just 34% of all North American theatres were open.

Last October, Wanda Film’s AMC Entertainment warned the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that it could run out of cash within half a year, as poor attendance weighs on its cash flow despite 494 of its 598 theatres being open as of October. The cash-strapped movie theater operator has managed to raise USD 200 million but is still short of USD 750 million more which it needs to ensure its survival.

Chinese moviegoers– a declining market

Movie viewership is on a downward trend with Chinese watching an average of 1.73 theatrical films in 2020, down from 2.88 in 2019, and 3.06 the year before. This could be due to the fact that with an average age of 28.8 years in 2020, Chinese movie-goers are on average younger than their American counterparts. Just 11% of Chinese movie-goers are above 40 years of age (compared with more than 50% in the United States according to data from Statista).

This young, tech-savvy generation appear to be more inclined towards watching films online from the comfort of their homes, and at the convenience of their time and pace, rather than in cinema as evidenced by a 2019 report from Tencent and Moayan which reveals that in 2019 just 66 million movie tickets were sold for the year’s top 10 highest-grossing films in China, while those same films were viewed 503 million times online. Their preference for options to suit their online lifestyle is also amply evidenced by China’s online movie ticket sales which has steadily increased over the years climbing from 76.1% in 2016, 81.6% in 2017, and 84.3% in 2018.

Meanwhile, the rise of “internet films” which are movies commissioned by internet streaming platforms such as Baidu-backed iQIYI, Tencent Video and Alibaba’s Youku Tudou, (China’s three biggest online video streaming companies) further illustrate the shifting dynamics of China’s conventional film industry. China’s online video market has grown tremendously and having emerged as major online film distributors, these online video behemoths are now increasingly moving to increase their involvement in the film industry with a particular focus on online-only “internet films”.

Bar chart showing China's online video market by revenue for 2009 - 2019, and forecast until 2022.

The trend is similar to that in the West where studios are increasingly finding themselves with the difficult decision on whether a movie will be streamed online through a streaming platform such as Netflix or whether they should stick to traditional theaters.

Meanwhile streaming giants such as Netflix and tech behemoths such as Amazon and Apple are also flexing their muscles in the film industry with a number of them churning out their own original video content, leveraging on their positions as major consumer entertainment or e-commerce platforms to market and distribute their content, and thereby disrupting Hollywood’s decades-old stronghold on the world of entertainment.

Local content gaining greater share of film consumption

Imported films accounted for about a sixth of China’s total box office takings in 2020, a 55% year-on-year decline according to figures from Maoyan Entertainment. The decline was largely attributed to the Covid pandemic which affected Hollywood release schedules, as well as rising interest in domestic content. Foreign films had been seeing consistent declines in their share of China’s box office takings over the past few years, accounting for 38% in 2018, 35.9% in 2019, and just 16.3% in 2020.

China’s growing importance in the global film industry has made Hollywood studios eager to capture a share of the pie, however with the Chinese government limiting the number of distribution slots for foreign films and domestic productions increasingly gaining greater appeal among Chinese movie goers as a result of greater content, and improving quality and competitiveness, foreign films are fighting an uphill battle in China.

Chinese film The Eight Hundred, which was released in August earned USD 461 million in the global box office, making it the highest grossing film in 2020 according to data from box office tracking website Box Office Mojo.

Produced Huayi Brothers, Tencent Pictures, Alibaba Pictures and Beijing Enlight Media, The Eight Hundred is the first Chinese film to reach the top spot in the global box office, and is the first non-English film to win the annual global box office crown since 1915.

Competition looks set to intensify as a growing number of local players enter the market as well. Alibaba Pictures, which has so far positioned itself as a joint rather than a primary role in local film production is now reportedly working on expanding its original content production capabilities, with the launch of a new in-house film studio called “Surprise Works”.

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The Technology Trends Powering China’s Agrifood Sector

Column chart showing crop yields in China vs United States for selected crops during crop year 2018/19. During crop year 2018/19, coarse grain yields in the United States stood at 10.44 metric tons per hectare compared with 5.95 metric tons per hectare in China. Wheat yields were 3.2 metric tons per hectare in the United States and 5.42 metric tons per hectare in China. Corn yields were 6.11 metric tons per hectare in China and 11.07 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Barley yields were 3.64 metric tons per hectare in China and 4.17 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Oats yields were 1.15 metric tons per hectare in China and 2.33 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Sorghum yields were 4.79 metric tons per hectare in China and 4.53 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Rice yields were 7.03 metric tons per hectare in China and 8.62 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Soybean yields were 1.9 metric tons per hectare in China and 3.4 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Cottonseed yields were 3.11 metric tons per hectare in China and 1.26 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Peanut yields were 3.75 metric tons per hectare in China and 4.48 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Sunflower seed yields were 2.71 metric tons per hectare in China and 1.94 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Rapeseed yields were 2.03 metric tons per hectare in China and 2.09 metric tons per hectare in the United States.

China is one of the world’s largest food producers. With the country’s middle class expanding along with growing incomes, food demand in China has been on a steady growth path. China is the world’s largest wheat consumer, largest fruit consumer, largest egg consumer, and largest meat consumer. China is the world’s biggest importer of soybeans, is the world’s largest tea market, and is the world’s largest market for alternative meat. China is expected to be the world’s largest dairy market by 2022, and the country is expected to overtake the United States to become the world’s largest grocery market as well.

With Chinese per capita incomes standing at less than one-third of the United States, there is tremendous potential for growth in China’s agrifood sector as per capita food consumption grows along with rising prosperity opening interesting opportunities. While China has attracted much attention due to some high profile outbound agri-food acquisitions such as ChemChina’s of Swiss seed giant Syngenta, and China Mengniu Dairy’s  acquisition of Australian dairy company Bellamy’s Australia, business optimism is strong on the domestic front as well. Listed agrifood companies such as New Hope Liuhe Co Ltd, and Muyuan Foods Co Ltd (SHE:002714) have seen share prices jump over the past five years; Muyuan Foods Co Ltd saw its share price jump more than ten-fold during the five years until August 2020 while New Hope Liuhe’s share price quintupled during the same period. Hong Kong-listed China Mengniu Dairy’s share price also quintupled during the same period. On the startup front, China remains the world’s second largest market for agrifood tech startup investing by total deal number and amount invested after the US according to AgFunder.

Much of investor attention is currently on China’s booming eGrocery market, which raked in 60% of agrifood startup investment in 2019 according to data from Agfunder. However, there are numerous other sectors worth watching particularly in agri-tech which has strong government support. This year, the Chinese government released the “Digital Agriculture and Rural Area Development Plan 2019-2025” which aims to have digital agriculture account for 15% of China’s agricultural value-add.

Precision farming

Precision farming is a growth industry and the opportunity is no different in China, one of the world’s largest agricultural producers. China is upgrading is agriculture infrastructure to precision farming. The vast majority of China’s farms are small scale farms with basic machinery. Agriculture 4.0 technologies such as precision and smart farming accounts for just 1% of the nation’s total agricultural production. For instance according to a 2018 article by a Chinese economist HE Fan, agricultural drone penetration is about 65% in the U.S. but just 2% in China. Innovation and advancement in areas such as AI, IoT, remote sensing, and 5G will spur greater adoption.

The regulatory environment is favorable too, with the Chinese government stepping up efforts to boost domestic agricultural yields and production in an effort to reduce reliance on food imports from the U.S.

 

Column chart showing crop yields in China vs United States for selected crops during crop year 2018/19. During crop year 2018/19, coarse grain yields in the United States stood at 10.44 metric tons per hectare compared with 5.95 metric tons per hectare in China. Wheat yields were 3.2 metric tons per hectare in the United States and 5.42 metric tons per hectare in China. Corn yields were 6.11 metric tons per hectare in China and 11.07 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Barley yields were 3.64 metric tons per hectare in China and 4.17 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Oats yields were 1.15 metric tons per hectare in China and 2.33 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Sorghum yields were 4.79 metric tons per hectare in China and 4.53 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Rice yields were 7.03 metric tons per hectare in China and 8.62 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Soybean yields were 1.9 metric tons per hectare in China and 3.4 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Cottonseed yields were 3.11 metric tons per hectare in China and 1.26 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Peanut yields were 3.75 metric tons per hectare in China and 4.48 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Sunflower seed yields were 2.71 metric tons per hectare in China and 1.94 metric tons per hectare in the United States. Rapeseed yields were 2.03 metric tons per hectare in China and 2.09 metric tons per hectare in the United States.

One such area where precision farming holds tremendous potential in China is pesticide use. China feeds about 19% of the world’s population with just 7% of the world’s arable land. While this is commendable, the country also uses about 47% of the world’s pesticides, making it the world’s largest user of agricultural chemicals. China’s heavy pesticide use despite the country’s relatively minute cropland share, is a national concern. In an effort to improve food safety, and minimize environmental damage caused by pesticide overuse and thereby improve the sustainability of Chinese agriculture, the Chinese government has been phasing out highly toxic pesticides from use over the past few years.

Chinese agritech drone startups such as XAG, and McFly are well placed to emerge as solution providers to tackle China’s pesticide issue. XAG is a leader in China’s smart agriculture field, with more than 40,000 of its agricultural drones operating in China. Baidu-backed McFly, which raised US$ 14 million in 2019 is a relatively new player. Both develop AI-powered remote sensing agriculture-focused aviation equipment to help farmers reduce farm pesticide use. For instance McFly’s precision pesticide spray is able to detect with 97% accuracy the presence of pests on specific areas of a farm land and spray pesticide accordingly.

This precise use of pesticides eliminates the need for the current practice of completely spraying an entire farmland with pesticide since more often than not, pest distribution occurs in parts of the farm, not throughout the farm. The benefits are clear; consumers have safer food while farmers benefit from reduced farm input costs.

The growth story is just beginning. Farmers need large sized farms to justify the investment in expensive agricultural drones. In McFly’s case for instance, farmers need reportedly a little more than 13 hectares to justify the investment in McFly’s commercial services. However, unlike in the United States, very few Chinese farmers have farmland of that size. McFly worked around this limitation by offering a group-buying model to make the services more affordable, which has been successful. However, McFly’s bottom margins may be better off dealing with large-scale individual customers as opposed to millions of small scale users. This will likely materialize in the years ahead. 

For centuries, millions of small-scale farms have been dominating China’s rural areas, and these are often managed by farming families themselves. Apart from the cost disadvantage of small scale farming due to their inability to benefit from of economies of scale, it has also been found that agricultural chemicals are often used inefficiently on small farms according to a research study conducted a team of researchers from the Universities of Melbourne, Zhejiang, Fudan, Wuhan and Stanford.

The inefficiencies of small-scale farming along with China’s growing problem of ageing farmers has prompted the Chinese government to clear the path for private investment in large-scale commercial farming, through rural land reform which will allow family farmland owners to collectively rent out their land to large-scale farmers to cultivate the land on a large scale.  Much like the gradual disappearance of America’s small family farms in the in the mid 20th century, China too appears to be on the path towards farm consolidation where small family farms will gradually give way to modernized, large scale commercial farms which suggests good for McFly.

Agricultural e-commerce

According to government data, e-commerce sales of agricultural produce reached CNY 554.2 billion in 2018, representing 9.8% of total agricultural sales. There is still ample room for growth. Under China’s “Digital Agriculture and Rural Area Development Plan 2019-2025” the Chinese government is aiming to boost the proportion of agricultural products sold online to reach 15% by 2025 which suggests bright prospects for agri-marketplaces in China. The competitor landscape however is crowded with players. Pinduoduo is perhaps one of the biggest names in the game having shot up to becoming China’s third largest marketplace after Alibaba and JD.com, by capitalizing on the growth of rural e-commerce. Their strategy was largely based on agriculture e-commerce and their popularity as a platform for rural farmers to sell their wares to city folk hungry to buy fresh agricultural produce straight from farmers continues to this day. Pinduoduo’s group-buying model enabled shoppers to team up with other interested buyers to collectively make a purchase of farm produce. Shoppers earn discounts for the relatively large purchase while farmers get to sell their produce at higher prices (since there is no middleman involved) and in relatively large order sizes thus saving them the hassle of fulfilling a large number of small orders.

Valued at US$ 7 billion,  agri-marketplace unicorn Meicai took a different route, connecting farmers with restaurants and hotel chains instead who also make relatively large purchases (for instance, the minimum order quantity is 5kilograms for vegetables). Meicai started off as an online retailer, directly sourcing and selling the fresh produce themselves. Starting 2017 however, the platform was opened to third party merchants as well.

The company in-house cold chain logistics network which was built with an investment of more than RMB 2 billion. This supply chain advantage is a significant competitive strength, with the company boasting more than 74 cold storage centers scattered in 52 cities with a warehouse area of approximately 800,000 square meters. Meicai has a fleet of more than 17,000 delivery vehicles and the company has a daily parcel handling capacity of more than 5.2 million. Meicai’s sales are expected to exceed RMB 14 billion in 2019 and although the company is currently loss-making, it is cash flow positive and is expected to turn in a profit by 2020.

 

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China’s Centuries-Old Plant Based Meat Industry Set For Growth

Bar chart showing the top five vegetarian markets in the world by vegetarian population. India was the biggest with a vegetarian population of 390 million followed by Indonesia with 66.9 million vegetarians, Nigeria with 58.1 million vegetarians, China with 51.9 million vegetarians, and Pakistan with 33.2 million vegetarians.

According to Euromonitor China’s “free from meat” market which includes plant-based meat products has grown 33.5% since 2014 to reach US$ 9.7 billion in 2019. The industry is forecast to reach US$ 11.9 billion by 2023. Already the world’s largest market for alternative meats, the Covid pandemic could serve as a catalyst to encourage greater numbers of non-vegetarian Chinese to adopt alternative meats as consumers, wary of potential sickness from animal protein increasingly turn to plant-based proteins such as plant-based meat and plant-based eggs. For instance, Just Egg, a plant-based egg alternative reportedly saw sales jump 30% on e-commerce platforms JD.com and Alibaba’s Tmall since the Covid outbreak.

The potential is enormous; protein demand in China is on a structural uptrend, driven by a growing middle class, rising incomes, and living standards. China is the world’s largest meat consumer, the world’s largest meat importer, the world’s largest meat producer, and the world’s largest soybean importer (demand for which is largely driven by its livestock industry which uses soybean meal as animal food). China’s soybean imports by value are more than 10 times bigger than second-placed European Union.

Bar chart showing top five soybean imports by volume, 2018. China was the world’s largest soybean importer having imported 85.47 million metric tonnes in 2018, followed by the EU-27 + UK with imports of 17.29 million metric tonnes, Argentina with 6.78 million metric tonnes, Mexico with 5.15 million metric tonnes, and Egypt with 3.51 million metric tonnes. Data from UN Trade Data.

Yet, there is still room for growth. Although China has caught up with Asian neighbors such as South Korea in terms of average protein supply, China still falls short when compared with Western countries such as the United States and Germany.

Column chart showing average protein supply (in grams per capita per day) (three year average) in China, South Korea, United States, and Germany. In 2008-2010, average protein supply was 91.7 in South Korea, 92.4 in China, 101.3 in Germany, 110.7 in the United States. In 2009-2011, average protein supply was 93 in South Korea, 93.7 in China, 102 in Germany, 109.3 in the United States. In 2010-2012, average protein supply was 94.3 in South Korea, 95.3 in China, 101.7 in Germany, 109 in the United States. In 2011-2013, average protein supply was 96 in South Korea, 96.7 in China, 101.7 in Germany, 108.7 in the United States. Data from the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.

However, satisfying this expected protein demand may prove an uphill challenge due to scarce resources; home to 19% of the world’s population but owning just 7% of the world’s arable land, China has very limited arable land. At just 0.086 hectares per person, China’s arable land per capita is lower than India, the United States, the European Union, and Russia.

Bar chart showing arable land per capita for selected countries as a 2016. In 2016, arable land per capita reached 1.904 hectares per person in Australia, 0.853 hectares per person in Russia, 0.471 hectares per person in the United States, 0.2 to 3 hectares per person in the European Union, 0.118 hectares per person in India, and 0.086 hectares per person in China. Data from the World Bank.

And with the livestock industry producing just 18% of the world’s calories and 37% of total protein despite occupying 77% of the world’s agricultural land according to figures from Our World in Data, it is clear that animal protein is far more resource intensive than plant-based protein, and so China, already the world’s largest meat producer, likely has very little room for further land expansion for livestock which makes the case for plant-based meats in China is very compelling.

Furthermore, the industry is bound to benefit from support from the Chinese government which reportedly aims to cut down meat consumption by 50% to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Plant-based meats are an answer to this and the climate-friendly narrative of plant-based meats is a major draw factor, particularly among China’s sustainability-conscious millennial generation. China has about 400 million millenials, compared with about 80 million in the United States.

The opportunity has not gone unnoticed. Global alternative protein players such as Beyond Meat, and Impossible Foods have stepped up marketing efforts in China while food and beverage players such as Starbucks, and Yum! Brands’ KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell have launched plant-based menus. KFC’s plant-based chicken will be supplied by agri-business giant Cargill, while Stabucks’ plant-based menu will see faux meats supplied by Beyond Meat.

Beyond Meat also partnered with Alibaba’s grocery retailer Hema to bring its plant-based packaged meat to supermarket shelves in China.

Competitive landscape: China’s mock meat industry is centuries old, and the country’s has well established players offering a wide variety of plant-based meat products

Imitation meat originated in China, and restaurants in Buddhist temples throughout the country have been serving fake meat as far back as the Song dynasty which lasted until the 13th century. A key pillar of Buddhist principles is respect for all life i.e., all living creatures and hence vegetarianism is commonly practiced among Buddhists. To accommodate the diets of patrons and guests, these temple kitchens mastered the art of preparing mock meats, a tradition which continues to this day in numerous Chinese Buddhist temples not only throughout China but also around the world from Malaysia, to the United States. Over the centuries, restaurants sprung up throughout the Middle Kingdom offering faux meat menus to cater to vegetarian Buddhists. According to China Daily there are more than 300 restaurants offering fake meat in Beijing alone.

Chinese entrepreneurs and merchants brought their expertise with them during their overseas travels and hence countries with a significant ethnic Chinese population such as Malaysia, also have their share of mock meat restaurants and mock meat manufacturers. Notable Malaysian players such as Ahimsa (which literally means “non-violence” in Sanskrit) for instance have been in the business for decades. X% of Malaysian vegetarian meat companies in the LD Investments database are more than 10 years old.

Thus, China has a very long history of manufacturing plant-based protein and the country has several players producing mock meat products out of a variety of plant-based foods such as tofu skin (known as yuba), soybeans, wheat gluten (sometimes called seitan), mushrooms, peanuts, and vegetables such as potatoes and carrots.

These well established players offer much more than just burghers and sausages, with their product range covering a wide breadth of faux meat and seafood products from ordinary staples such as beef, pork, lamb, chicken, crab meat, roast duck, and cuttlefish, to exotic meats such as eels, puffer fish, shark’s fin, and abalone.

It has been noted however that a number of these companies’ products are targeted at China’s vegetarian population, and the products often do not mimic the taste, texture, and color of authentic meat very well. Hence, while they satisfactorily serve the needs of China’s vegetarian population, the products may need some tinkering before China’s mammoth non-vegetarian population will be sufficiently persuaded to make the switch and consume plant-based meats on a regular basis. Impossible Foods’ burgher for instance uses a patent-protected lab-grown heme which makes its vegetarian burgher look, taste, and “bleed” like the real thing, and thereby differentiates itself from competing burghers.

This probably explains why despite having a centuries-old and well-established mock meat industry, Chinese still favor animal meat over plant-based options and animal meat’s popularity has only grown along with the country’s affluence-driven protein demand. China’s vegetarian population is just about 3.8% of the total population.

Bar chart showing vegetarians as a percentage of the population for selected countries. With vegetarians accounting for 29.8% of the country’s population, India’s vegetarian population had the highest percentage, followed by Indonesia where vegetarians accounted for 25.4% of the country’s population, and Pakistan at 16.8%. China’s vegetarian population made up just 3.8% of the country’ s total population.

And in absolute terms, China’s vegetarian population is dwarfed by Asian neighbors India, and Indonesia.

Bar chart showing the top five vegetarian markets in the world by vegetarian population. India was the biggest with a vegetarian population of 390 million followed by Indonesia with 66.9 million vegetarians, Nigeria with 58.1 million vegetarians, China with 51.9 million vegetarians, and Pakistan with 33.2 million vegetarians.

Nevertheless, these established players will seek to expand beyond their traditional target market of vegetarian Buddhists, which suggests competition will be fierce.

Overseas players will be up against local upstarts and established domestic players

Overseas companies Beyond Meat, JUST, and Impossible Foods will be up against local upstarts such as Zhenmeat (often touted as China’s answer to Beyond Meat), and OmniPork who are also beefing up their businesses to carve out their slice of the market.

While Beyond Meat and Impossible Foods’ product offering is heavily skewed towards the western palate with products such as burghers and sausages, China’s domestic players are heavily focused on Chinese taste buds with a focus on pork rather than beef (given that pork is China’s most popular meat) and with a product range covering local delicacies such as dumplings, mooncakes, and meatballs.

Zhenmeat for instance offers local delicacies such as plant-based meat mooncakes, and konjac-based crayfish. Hong Kong-based OmniPork offers a line of pork products tailored to Chinese taste buds such as pork buns and pork strips. Pork makes up 80% of China’s meat market, and China is the world’s largest pork consumer accounting for nearly half of global pork consumption.

Pie chart showing pork consumption by country in 2018. Accounting for 49.3% of global pork consumption, China was the world’s biggest pork consumer followed by the European Union with 19%, and the United States at 8.7%. Other countries accounted for the balance 23.1%. Data from the United States Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service, and LD Investments analysis.

With domestic demand outstripping domestic supply, China has also held the position as the world’s largest pork importer for a few years, before being overtaken by Japan in 2018 but expected to regain the leading position in 2019 according to data from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) as the African Swine Fever (ASF) disease reduced China’s domestic pig herd by at least 40%, leading to a spike in imported pork from all China; China’s pork imports by dollar value jumped 117.4% in 2019.

The ASSF outbreak has also pushed up meat prices such as pork helping further push interest towards plant-based pork. The current conditions prevailing in China’s pork market suggest apt timing for OmniPork to capture its share of China’s alternative protein market.

Established domestic mock meat players to watch include Whole Perfect Food and Godly. Founded in 1993, Whole Perfect Food has been in the industry for decades selling faux meat to Chinese consumers shunning meat for religious reasons. Now they are looking to expand that market and the company could emerge as a strong contender armed with a product range of more than 300 vegetarian/plant-based meat and meat product alternatives including vegetarian versions of oyster sauce, tailored to the Chinese palate.

Founded in 1922, Godly 功德林is considered to be one of the pioneers of plant-based meats. And like Whole Perfect Food offers a plethora of faux meat products from mock meat chicken, duck, ham and traditional meats such as vegetarian dried intestines, to local delicacies such as mock meat buns, dumplings, traditional Chinese cakes, and mooncakes. Their official store on JD.com has over 200 reviews, most of which are positive.